TSLA stock verdict - Avoid
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
AVOIDConsumer Cyclical
$342.27
Fundamentals below bar
$342.27
Heavy$42.08Buy$56.10Fair$70.13Exit$84.16
FUNDAMENTAL41
TECHNICAL47
TRUST SCORE
100High
confidence in this read — data completeness, earnings quality & coverage
Neutral · EMA20 338.15 · EMA50 361.28 · EMA200 384.68 · RSI 48.8 · MACD above signal
PROS
- Conservative balance sheet — debt-to-equity of 0.19
CONS
- Trades above the model's exit level ($84.16) — overvalued on this framework
- Expensive on trailing earnings (P/E 318.0×)
- Rich for its growth rate (PEG 6.2)
- Company has a low return on equity of 4.5% (TTM)
- TTM EPS fell 37.7% year-over-year
✳ Pros and cons are machine-generated from the latest fundamentals and technicals.
EARNINGS QUALITY · we check the accounting so you don't have to
✓Operating cash flow is 389% of net income — profit is backed by real cash
✓Low accruals — reported profit tracks the cash actually generated
✓Receivables growing in line with sales
Analysis as of 2026-08-16 · price live, fundamentals from latest filings
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FAQ
Why is TSLA rated Avoid?
TSLA (Tesla, Inc.) is rated Avoid because the model combines fundamentals, price action, and earnings-quality checks. The current signal is Fundamentals below bar. Conservative balance sheet — debt-to-equity of 0.19
Is TSLA overvalued right now?
TSLA is trading at $342.27 versus an estimated fair value of $70.13. That puts the stock in avoid territory on this framework. Trades above the model's exit level ($84.16) — overvalued on this framework and Expensive on trailing earnings (P/E 318.0×)
What should I watch before acting on TSLA?
Watch the trust score of 100, the earnings-quality checks, and any red flags. Trades above the model's exit level ($84.16) — overvalued on this framework and Expensive on trailing earnings (P/E 318.0×)