HD stock verdict - Avoid
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
AVOIDConsumer Cyclical
$293.20
Fundamentals below bar
$293.20
Heavy$173.67Buy$210.89Fair$248.10Exit$272.92
VALUE29
GROWTH12
QUALITY89
TECHNICAL—
TRUST SCORE
100High
confidence in this read — data completeness, earnings quality & coverage
Technicals: insufficient price history
PROS
- Strong return on equity of 85.6% (TTM)
- Balance sheet holds net cash (cash exceeds total debt)
- Healthy free-cash-flow yield of 5.2%
CONS
- Trades above the model's exit level ($272.92) — overvalued on this framework
- Rich for its growth rate (PEG 3.2)
- TTM EPS fell 4.6% year-over-year
✳ Pros and cons are machine-generated from the latest fundamentals and technicals.
EARNINGS QUALITY · we check the accounting so you don't have to
✓Operating cash flow is 132% of net income — profit is backed by real cash
Analysis as of 2026-09-25 · price live, fundamentals from latest filings
Congress Trading — last 90 days
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📊 Options Flow — Put/Call Ratio
FAQ
Why is HD rated Avoid?
HD (The Home Depot, Inc.) is rated Avoid because the model combines fundamentals, price action, and earnings-quality checks. The current signal is Fundamentals below bar. Strong return on equity of 85.6% (TTM) and Balance sheet holds net cash (cash exceeds total debt)
Is HD overvalued right now?
HD is trading at $293.20 versus an estimated fair value of $248.10. That puts the stock in avoid territory on this framework. Trades above the model's exit level ($272.92) — overvalued on this framework and Rich for its growth rate (PEG 3.2)
What should I watch before acting on HD?
Watch the trust score of 100, the earnings-quality checks, and any red flags. Trades above the model's exit level ($272.92) — overvalued on this framework and Rich for its growth rate (PEG 3.2)