PGR stock verdict - Value
PGR
Progressive Corporation (The)
VALUEFinancial Services
$209.60
Strong Buy · weak trend
$209.60
Heavy$260.36Buy$316.16Fair$371.95Exit$409.15
FUNDAMENTAL84
TECHNICAL32
TRUST SCORE
93High
confidence in this read — data completeness, earnings quality & coverage
Downtrend · EMA20 212.66 · EMA50 212.01 · EMA200 214.73 · RSI 45.3 · MACD below signal
PROS
- Trades 44% below the model's fair value ($371.95)
- Attractive trailing P/E of 10.5× (earnings yield 9.5%)
- Strong return on equity of 35.2% (TTM)
- Revenue grew 21.0%/yr on average over the last 3 years
- Conservative balance sheet — debt-to-equity of 0.24
CONS
- Price is in a downtrend — below key moving averages
✳ Pros and cons are machine-generated from the latest fundamentals and technicals.
EARNINGS QUALITY · we check the accounting so you don't have to
✓Operating cash flow is 155% of net income — profit is backed by real cash
✓Low accruals — reported profit tracks the cash actually generated
✓Receivables growing in line with sales
Analysis as of 2026-08-16 · price live, fundamentals from latest filings
Congress Trading — last 90 days
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FAQ
Why is PGR rated Value?
PGR (Progressive Corporation (The)) is rated Value because the model combines fundamentals, price action, and earnings-quality checks. The current signal is Strong Buy · weak trend. Trades 44% below the model's fair value ($371.95) and Attractive trailing P/E of 10.5× (earnings yield 9.5%)
Is PGR overvalued right now?
PGR is trading at $209.60 versus an estimated fair value of $371.95. That puts the stock in value territory on this framework. Price is in a downtrend — below key moving averages
What should I watch before acting on PGR?
Watch the trust score of 93, the earnings-quality checks, and any red flags. Price is in a downtrend — below key moving averages