WMT stock verdict - Avoid
WMT
Walmart Inc.
AVOIDConsumer Defensive
$115.27
Fundamentals below bar
$115.27
Heavy$67.82Buy$82.35Fair$96.88Exit$106.57
FUNDAMENTAL42
TECHNICAL70
TRUST SCORE
100High
confidence in this read — data completeness, earnings quality & coverage
Uptrend · EMA20 113.22 · EMA50 114.98 · EMA200 115.56 · RSI 56.5 · MACD above signal
PROS
- Strong return on equity of 23.4% (TTM)
- TTM EPS grew 21.8% year-over-year
- Balance sheet holds net cash (cash exceeds total debt)
- Price is in an uptrend — above key moving averages with positive momentum
CONS
- Trades above the model's exit level ($106.57) — overvalued on this framework
- Expensive on trailing earnings (P/E 40.6×)
- Rich for its growth rate (PEG 4.8)
- Thin net margin of 2.8% (3-yr avg)
✳ Pros and cons are machine-generated from the latest fundamentals and technicals.
EARNINGS QUALITY · we check the accounting so you don't have to
✓Operating cash flow is 190% of net income — profit is backed by real cash
✓Low accruals — reported profit tracks the cash actually generated
✓Receivables growing in line with sales
Analysis as of 2026-08-16 · price live, fundamentals from latest filings
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FAQ
Why is WMT rated Avoid?
WMT (Walmart Inc.) is rated Avoid because the model combines fundamentals, price action, and earnings-quality checks. The current signal is Fundamentals below bar. Strong return on equity of 23.4% (TTM) and TTM EPS grew 21.8% year-over-year
Is WMT overvalued right now?
WMT is trading at $115.27 versus an estimated fair value of $96.88. That puts the stock in avoid territory on this framework. Trades above the model's exit level ($106.57) — overvalued on this framework and Expensive on trailing earnings (P/E 40.6×)
What should I watch before acting on WMT?
Watch the trust score of 100, the earnings-quality checks, and any red flags. Trades above the model's exit level ($106.57) — overvalued on this framework and Expensive on trailing earnings (P/E 40.6×)